Dissertation sur la peine de mort aux etats unis

2) Model error causes the underestimation of small probabilities & their contribution (on balance, because of convexity effects). Any model error, just as any undertainty about flying time causes the expected arrival to be delayed (you rarely land 4 hours early, more often 4 hours late on a transatlantic flight, so "unforeseen" disturbances tend to delay you). See my argument about second order effects with my paper . [INTUITION: uncertainty about the model used for calculation of random effects causes a second layer of randomness, causing small probabilities to rise on balance].

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[…] Californie, années 60. Un groupe de grimpeurs à la recherche d’une vie conforme à leurs rêves, initie un nouveau rapport à la montagne dans le Yosemite National Park. Ils ressemblent à des beatniks, rien de bien surprenant, Allen Ginsberg a publié « Howl » à peine quelques années plus tôt, « Sur la route » de Kerouac vient de sortir, tout comme « le festin nu » de William S Burroughs. En fait, cette aventure a débutée en 1957 avec la première de la face nord du Half Dome, considérée jusqu’alors comme presque impossible, et c’est ce que raconte ce documentaire « Valley Uprising » sur lequel revient le National Geographic.   […]

Dissertation sur la peine de mort aux etats unis

dissertation sur la peine de mort aux etats unis


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